Matchup overview
Conor McGregor face Paddy Pimblett in MMA action at , scheduled for Sunday, July 11 at 12:00 AM UTC.
Paddy Pimblett enter ranked #0 with a 0% win rate this season, while Conor McGregor sit at #0 on 0%.
SportsAI.ML model prediction
Our multi-model ensemble makes Paddy Pimblett the projected winner, assigning a 60% win probability against Conor McGregor. Model agreement on this outcome is 100%, producing an overall confidence rating of 59/100.
This is a closer read, so the projected edge should be weighed against the tighter model spread.
Odds & market value
Paddy Pimblett are priced at 1.62 in decimal terms, a market-implied probability of 62%. Removing the bookmaker margin (the "vig") gives a fair two-way probability of 60%.
Because our model's 60% estimate sits above the 60% fair line, there is a positive projected edge of 0.3 points, translating to an expected value of -2.8% per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: 1.62
- Market-implied probability: 62%
- No-vig fair probability: 60%
- Model probability: 60%
- Projected edge: 0.3 pts
Form & head-to-head
Paddy Pimblett come in on recent form of (most recent first), averaging 0 scored and 0 conceded per game. Conor McGregor show , at 0 for and 0 against.
Across their last 0 meetings, Paddy Pimblett have won 0, Conor McGregor 0, with 0 drawn.
Verdict
SportsAI.ML leans Paddy Pimblett at 1.62, where the model sees genuine value versus the closing-adjusted fair line. Confidence: 59/100.
This preview updates automatically as odds and model outputs change. It is AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only and is not betting advice.