Matchup overview
Everton face Newcastle United in EPL action at , scheduled for Monday, November 2 at 8:00 PM UTC.
Newcastle United enter ranked #0 with a 0% win rate this season, while Everton sit at #0 on 0%.
SportsAI.ML model prediction
Our multi-model ensemble makes Everton the projected winner, assigning a 59% win probability against Newcastle United. Model agreement on this outcome is 100%, producing an overall confidence rating of 58/100.
This is a closer read, so the projected edge should be weighed against the tighter model spread.
Odds & market value
Everton are priced at 2.93 in decimal terms, a market-implied probability of 34%. Removing the bookmaker margin (the "vig") gives a fair two-way probability of 45%.
Because our model's 59% estimate sits above the 45% fair line, there is a positive projected edge of 14.5 points, translating to an expected value of 72.9% per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: 2.93
- Market-implied probability: 34%
- No-vig fair probability: 45%
- Model probability: 59%
- Projected edge: 14.5 pts
Form & head-to-head
Newcastle United come in on recent form of (most recent first), averaging 0 scored and 0 conceded per game. Everton show , at 0 for and 0 against.
Across their last 0 meetings, Newcastle United have won 0, Everton 0, with 0 drawn.
Verdict
SportsAI.ML leans Everton at 2.93, where the model sees genuine value versus the closing-adjusted fair line. Confidence: 58/100.
This preview updates automatically as odds and model outputs change. It is AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only and is not betting advice.