Matchup overview
New York City FC face D.C. United in MLS action at , scheduled for Saturday, November 7 at 9:00 PM UTC.
D.C. United enter ranked #0 with a 0% win rate this season, while New York City FC sit at #0 on 0%.
SportsAI.ML model prediction
Our multi-model ensemble makes New York City FC the projected winner, assigning a 67% win probability against D.C. United. Model agreement on this outcome is 100%, producing an overall confidence rating of 65/100.
This is a closer read, so the projected edge should be weighed against the tighter model spread.
Odds & market value
New York City FC are priced at 2.29 in decimal terms, a market-implied probability of 44%. Removing the bookmaker margin (the "vig") gives a fair two-way probability of 55%.
Because our model's 67% estimate sits above the 55% fair line, there is a positive projected edge of 11.6 points, translating to an expected value of 53.4% per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: 2.29
- Market-implied probability: 44%
- No-vig fair probability: 55%
- Model probability: 67%
- Projected edge: 11.6 pts
Form & head-to-head
D.C. United come in on recent form of (most recent first), averaging 0 scored and 0 conceded per game. New York City FC show , at 0 for and 0 against.
Across their last 0 meetings, D.C. United have won 0, New York City FC 0, with 0 drawn.
Verdict
SportsAI.ML leans New York City FC at 2.29, where the model sees genuine value versus the closing-adjusted fair line. Confidence: 65/100.
This preview updates automatically as odds and model outputs change. It is AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only and is not betting advice.