Matchup overview
Toulouse face Le Mans FC in Ligue 1 - France action at , scheduled for Friday, October 16 at 6:45 PM UTC.
Le Mans FC enter ranked #0 with a 0% win rate this season, while Toulouse sit at #0 on 0%.
SportsAI.ML model prediction
Our multi-model ensemble makes Toulouse the projected winner, assigning a 69% win probability against Le Mans FC. Model agreement on this outcome is 100%, producing an overall confidence rating of 67/100.
This is a closer read, so the projected edge should be weighed against the tighter model spread.
Odds & market value
Toulouse are priced at 2.22 in decimal terms, a market-implied probability of 45%. Removing the bookmaker margin (the "vig") gives a fair two-way probability of 58%.
Because our model's 69% estimate sits above the 58% fair line, there is a positive projected edge of 11.0 points, translating to an expected value of 53.2% per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: 2.22
- Market-implied probability: 45%
- No-vig fair probability: 58%
- Model probability: 69%
- Projected edge: 11.0 pts
Form & head-to-head
Le Mans FC come in on recent form of (most recent first), averaging 0 scored and 0 conceded per game. Toulouse show , at 0 for and 0 against.
Across their last 0 meetings, Le Mans FC have won 0, Toulouse 0, with 0 drawn.
Verdict
SportsAI.ML leans Toulouse at 2.22, where the model sees genuine value versus the closing-adjusted fair line. Confidence: 67/100.
This preview updates automatically as odds and model outputs change. It is AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only and is not betting advice.